The Stories Behind Uncertain Futures: Using Scenario Planning to Imagine the Future of Energy

by Public and Community Events

Educational/Awareness AUC climate change Climate Change Environment Event Webinar

Tue, Sep 6, 2022

7 PM – 8 PM (GMT+2)

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How do we navigate a future which looks, unlike anything we’ve seen before? Ahead of COP27, and amongst bold calls for “Green Transitions” worldwide, how do we create strategies to address novel challenges like climate change without previous experiences to draw from?
In the energy sector, scenario planning–or telling stories about the future–has long helped answer these questions. This Futures Talk will explore how scenario planning helps us imagine a range of possible futures, thus gradually transforming the unknowable into the knowable. This Talk will also present how scenarios help to overcome collective biases and how recent events such as the COVID19 pandemic or geopolitical instability have challenged specific tenets of scenario building.

The AUC Innovation Hub is a springboard for industry partnerships, multidisciplinary research, and experiential learning. Located at the AUC New Cairo campus, the Innovation Hub offers corporations, start-ups, and AUC faculty/students the opportunity to collaborate on strategic research projects and co-create innovative solutions for Egypt’s and the region’s toughest challenges.

New Silk Roads offers a range of future thinking programs focused on collectively imagining preferred futures and producing bold, innovative future scenarios. For over ten years, New Silk Roads has worked with various clients, including international organizations, multinational companies, and creative enterprises.

Futures Talks are being implemented as part of the GreenWorks program led by Hivos and funded by the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs. 


Moataz Darwish's profile photo

Moataz Darwish

Professor of Practice in Strategy & Entrepreneurship

The American University in Cairo

Moataz Darwish is a former Shell executive and a Professor of Practice at the American University in Cairo. With over 20 years of experience in energy management, Moataz is also an energy consultant and co-chair of the American Chamber of Commerce in Egypt’s Oil and Gas Committee. He also conducts research which utilizes behavioral strategy and entrepreneurship to analyze the mental and business models of Big Tech and Big Oil.

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Salma Nagy

Vice President of Partner-Operated Assets

British Petroleum Egypt

Salma Nagy is Vice President of Partner-Operated Assets at British Petroleum Egypt. Salma has nearly two decades of experience in the oil and gas industry, with a focus on Egypt and the MENA region. Prior to joining British Petroleum, she held a range of positions at Shell, including supporting scenario planning efforts within the company. She currently serves as a board member for Nidoco, Medgas, Petrotemsah and Petroshorouk.

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